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What is Forex? Ultimate

FOREX (or FOReign Exchange or FX market) is slightly different market shares. Mainly, because it is a short-term market, for example, many operators start and end operations during periods of one day, or even a few minutes. FOREX
Several operations can be performed without spending (or rather spend) large amounts of money, because Forex trading is commission free. Brokers (or suppliers or traders) make money by providing what is commonly called the spread - the difference between purchase price and sales.

FOREX is the largest financial market in the world. Transactions handled close to $ 1.5 trillion dollars every day, while across the U.S. market combined actions are operated not more than $ 100 billion.

other hand, is the most liquid market in the world.
There is always a buyer and a seller for any currency as the world economy based on exchange of currencies between countries.
The stock market is less liquid because participants may choose to keep their investments or move to other markets.

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Oscilator

L oscillators I usually compare the price of a value with its price x periods ago. Larry Williams

realized that this kind of oscillators can vary greatly depending on the number of periods used in its calculation. Therefore, they developed the Ultimate Oscillator employs weighted sums of three oscillators, each of which uses a different time period .

The three oscillators are based on the definition gives Williams the "pressure" of buying and selling.

Interpretation

Williams recommends that you start an operation following a divergence and a break in the trend of the Ultimate Oscillator . The following summarizes these rules.

Buy when there is: bullish divergence.

This occurs when the share price at least my low mark is not confirmed by a lowest minimum in the oscillator. During the bullish divergence, the oscillator falls below 30. The oscillator then rises above the highest point reached during the stretch of bullish divergence. At this point is the time to buy.

Close long positions when : Conditions are for sale, or the oscillator rises above 50 and then falls below 45, or the oscillator rises above 70. (Sometimes it is appropriate to wait until after the oscillator falls below 70). Sell \u200b\u200bwhen a bearish divergence occurs.

occurs when the share price higher maximum marks that are not confirmed by higher peaks of the oscillator. During a bearish divergence, the oscillator rises above 50. The oscillator then falls below the lowest point reached during the stretch of bearish divergence. At this point you have to sell.

Close short positions when : Conditions are to be purchased, or the oscillator rises above 65, or the oscillator falls below 30. (Sometimes it is waiting for the oscillator rises again above 30).

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Stochastic oscillator (% K and% D)

1) Introduction

The idea is:

In the development of an upward trend, closing prices tend to be near the top and when the trend is down, closing prices tend to be near the lows of the session.

These oscillators use two lines,% K and% D, the most important being the last, and that is what generates the signals to buy or sell.

Its operation is as follows:

What trying to determine through is stochastic as is the current closing price compared to the price range a given period .

2) Fast Stochastic% K line or

The% K line is the most sensitive of the two. Its formula is:

% K = 100 - [(Pc-Lc) / (Hc-Lc)]

where:

Pc

= Closing price of each session. Lc

= The smaller of the minimum of the last five days

Hc = the higher of the maximum of the last 5 days

In this way you get a line, and as in the other oscillators, data is deleted first row every day and adds another day into force .

A high result (if it exceeds line 70) would place the end near the top of the price range and a low result would place the minimum closing price range.

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So in other oscillators, moving averages applied to the oscillators themselves be used % D line to smooth the line% K using the following formula:

% D = 100 H3 / L3

Where

:

H3 is the sum of the last three Pc-Lc

L3 is the sum of the last three H5 - L5

3) Slow Stochastic

is a more isolated where the% K Slow Stochastic% D line is the fast stochastic and line% D Stochastic Slow is a three-day moving average of line% K Slow Stochastic.

The advantage of these stochastic signals is not buying or selling, but in the "differences" with respect to the price series . You compare the closing price on the price range for a given period.

When the% D line is above 70 and an increasingly "lower highs" while prices are "lowest ever higher, it produces what is called a " bearish divergence ".

When the% D line is below 30 and an increasingly "minimum higher, while prices are "lowest ever higher, it produces what is called a " bullish divergence ".

signals The purchase or sale may occur when the% line K crosses the% D line of .

These signals are only meaningful if they occur in the maximum or the minimum stochastic always crossed the line 70 (up) or 30 (down). The best results can be obtained at the weekly charts.

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Oscillator MACD

This oscillator consists of two half-exponential ranging turning line of zero (0). These two lines are called MACD (Moving Average Divergence Converge) and Signal .

Signal The line is the exponential average of the MACD line , and serves to try to determine possible changes in short-term trend.

The MACD is calculated by subtracting a moving average of 12 days of the price of a share of its 26-day moving average also based on the price. The result is an indicator that oscillates above and below zero.

When MACD is above zero , means the average of 12 days is greater than the average of 26 days. This situation is bullish because it shows that current expectations (ie, mean 12 days) are more bullish than previous expectations (ie, the average of 26 days). This implies an upward shift, or up in the lines of supply and demand.

When the MACD falls below zero, meaning that the 12-day moving average is less than 26 days, which leads to a downward shift in the lines of supply and demand.

In summary, the MACD line provides information medium and long term trends in the value and Signal line provides information on the behavior of the MACD line very short term.

The interpretation of both lines is:

The buy signal occurs when the line Signal MACD line cut "up" to "down." The sell signal when the line Signal MACD line cut "down" a "above." The greatest utility of this oscillator is to confirm that the trend is bullish or bearish.

In summary: There are oscillators that can detect a change in trend over time such as RSI, Momentum or the crossing of socks. The MACD is useful to confirm that the trend will force the medium and long term.

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Moving Averages Relative Strength Index or RSI

oscillator is an exchange rate that is measure the rate at which prices move .

Surge to solve problems line momentum. One problem is that a very sharp rise or fall can cause n days ago too violent movements in the line of momentum, but current prices are not displayed excessive changes.

It is therefore desirable to "smooth" these changes, taking into account that the momentum line did not offer a band of overbought or oversold. With the RSI solve these problems.

one hand, provides a measure the relative strength of price gains over losses thereof. In addition, allows comparison of the same value in different periods . This is why it is necessary to measure and RSI mormalizada lies between 0 and 100 , which means it can provide the levels of overbought and oversold.

The formula is:

RSI = 100 - 100 / [1 + (Average highs / Media Low)]

The relationship between the ups and downs gives the force on each value. The RSI can compare the two averages and expressed as percentage. If the average of low and increases are equal, the RSI has a value of 50%, meaning that the relative strengths are balanced. However, if the value of the RSI is above 50% means there is more bullish than bearish relative strength, and if less than 50% more bearish than bullish relative strength.

What is commonly used now the IHR with an average of 14 days , as if less (7 days) can provide false signals and 20-day moving averages are lost signals that occur in a shorter timeframe.

The interpretation of RSI is as follows: Since the RSI is a line that follows the graph, will show the maximum and minimum price that is forming. When the RSI line area exceeds 70% is considered that the value entered in overbought zone. Conversely, if is below the 30% area, it is considered that the value entered in oversold.

From RSI can also be done chartist analysis, ie triangles can be detected, supports, resistances, rectangles, etc.. One of the most important is the observation of the performance differences between the current market value and the RSI line. For example, if we observe a continuous rise in the price, and on the contrary, we observed an acceleration in the RSI is not commensurate with the market value, this would be a possible divergence that show a possible future change of the trend in value.

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The momentum oscillator is the most basic of charting and analysis is to measure the price change between the current price and the price n periods ago. This oscillator is intended to measure the "speed" of price movement.

The construction is made from the theft to the closing price of today's closing price n periods ago. This value can be positive, negative or zero.

The formula is:

Momentum = Closing price today - closing price n periods

The main advantage of the momentum line is that anticipates changes in trends in prices. Therefore, if we have a series of rising prices and the line of momentum is also trending upward, but begins to fall, it shows a sign of deceleration that can prevent a shift in prices. This is known as divergence between the current market trend and the slowdown in the momentum line.

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Momentum indicators Moving Average EMA

1) Introduction

often in stock markets and futures buying or selling pressure is automatically transmitted to prices, and therefore they are constantly subjected to abrupt changes. These variations are called by "volatility" of value. A value with a high level of volatility, make abrupt changes in prices, which translated to a chart, have large peaks and valleys, ie the graph presented called "sawtooth" . These movements can not hide the true trend of value and that will be solved by determining the moving average.
Moving averages are the most widely used indicator charting analysis. It is an arithmetic average "smooths" the curve price and becomes a line or curve of the trend, allowing analyzing its beginning and its end. It does not provide trend changes but if you can confirm.

2) simple moving average

half is simple but has the particularity that each day that passes, it eliminates the first day of the series in the calculation and added the last day. For the purposes of analysis presents the criticism that only takes into account the reporting period is calculated, and gives equal weight to the first day of the series to last.

3) Weighted Moving Average

corrects the second critical

previous because it gives more weight to recent prices, so that the latest prices have more influence than the former.

4) Exponential Moving Average

serves to eliminate the first criticism, and that includes all historical data, applying an exponential weighting (the exponential average of the first day is the end of that day .)
This average assigns more weight to the nearest closing prices and downplays closing prices further away.

The formula is:

Media Media today = yesterday + (Close today - Media yesterday) x (2 / n +1)

view graphs of the various contributions, will have the following situation:

1. - Signal to buy:

will occur when the moving average is crossed by the price up.

2. - Signal to Sell:

will occur when the moving average is crossed down prices.

5) Considerations

They ask the following considerations:

An important fact is that the moving average change its curvature, and if the period being analyzed is too short, there may be signs "False" (which can be avoided by using "filters"), and if the period is too long analyzing the signals to buy or sell will occur too late.
Another use of moving averages is that they represent support and resistance on the chart, taking into account that the larger the number of contacts, this is more optimized moving average.
To avoid the problems discussed above, it is advisable to use the combination of moving averages, ie, a long moving average to follow the trend of long-term market, and a short moving average for detecting short-term movements.
A widely used system is called "method double cross "also points to the time of purchase or sale. The method is as follows:

Buy Signal:

occurs when the short moving average crosses from below upwards long moving average.

signal Sale:

occurs when the short moving average crosses from above to below the long moving average. This method may delay the entry or exit, but significantly reduces the number of false signals that may occur.
There is also a third method called "Method of the neutral zone, which consists of buying when the price is above both moving averages, and sell when the price is in the middle of the two moving averages.

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This is a simple system that has given me very good results. I advise to start the same way I did, that is, before opening positions, analyze charts. You see that when this situation is true, it will become alert.
After a while your eyes will be trained to recognize good opportunities and this will be to practice, practice makes perfect. All you need systems is to place two simple EMA (Exponential Moving Average) that will alert you when the market changes.

Unfortunately, it also happens that sometimes, the market is changing rapidly and that is why we lose positions.

System

personally use the following indicators (EMAs):

12/89 for a 15 minute chart.
9 / 30 for a 60 minutes (This is the most used).
5 / 13 for a daily chart.

is credited to long (buy) when the fast EMA (12, 9, 5 in the data above) crosses the bottom up to the slow EMA. Vice versa for short (sell). Use
ultimate high / low as a stop loss.
Exit at the first sign of reversal of the situation.